All outlets

OUT_08758

Pharmacy · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
603.4 L
Recent monthly avg
18.1 L
Own Q90
59.2 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
875
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +359.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +359.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +122.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~122.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +304.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +83.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +59.5
  • super_premium_share
    +7.1
  • Province_Western
    +6.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -51.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -14.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+359.8 L / mo
base 609.8 L → after 969.6 L
Remove competitive drag+0.6 L / mo
base 609.8 L → after 610.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,024

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
359.8 L
Monthly margin
LKR 11,646
Payback
4.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 198,918

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.