All outlets

OUT_08707

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
72.7 L
Recent monthly avg
11.5 L
Own Q90
50.3 L
Active months
10 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
849
Replenishment friction
30.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.6 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 11.6 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.6 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.2
  • mid_share
    +5.1
  • mass_share
    +1.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -63.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.1 L / mo
base 77.4 L → after 81.5 L
Remove competitive drag+1.4 L / mo
base 77.4 L → after 78.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 75

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.