All outlets

OUT_08706

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
228.1 L
Recent monthly avg
26.4 L
Own Q90
76.1 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
922
Replenishment friction
13.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +28.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~28.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.9
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.1
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +3.7
  • competitors_1km
    +3.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 143.5 L → after 143.5 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 143.5 L → after 143.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 695

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.