All outlets

OUT_08554

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
70.6 L
Recent monthly avg
12.2 L
Own Q90
42.7 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
691
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +2.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.0%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.4 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.3
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.0
  • competitors_2km
    +1.4
  • climate_jan_temp_c
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -63.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.8 L / mo
base 75.9 L → after 76.7 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 75.9 L → after 77.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 96

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.