All outlets

OUT_08521

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.9 L
Recent monthly avg
29.8 L
Own Q90
81.9 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
24
HHI (1.5 km)
600
Replenishment friction
26.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.2
  • hhi_1500m
    +3.7
  • competitors_2km
    +2.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.9
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.4 L / mo
base 94.5 L → after 94.8 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 94.5 L → after 94.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 71

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.