All outlets

OUT_08360

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
792.1 L
Recent monthly avg
537.8 L
Own Q90
837.7 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,737
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +156.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~156.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +195.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +75.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +67.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +46.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.0
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    -0.9
  • competitors_1km
    -0.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 781.9 L → after 781.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 781.9 L → after 781.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 927

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.