All outlets

OUT_08336

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
606.5 L
Recent monthly avg
17.0 L
Own Q90
65.9 L
Active months
14 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
1,064
Replenishment friction
57.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +339.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +339.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +119.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~119.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +305.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +84.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +62.4
  • Province_Western
    +5.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +4.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -51.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -13.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+339.9 L / mo
base 598.3 L → after 938.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 598.3 L → after 598.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,413

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
339.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 10,516
Payback
4.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 174,756

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.