All outlets

OUT_08319

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
245.4 L
Recent monthly avg
88.4 L
Own Q90
214.0 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
2,453
Replenishment friction
30.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +325.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +325.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +29.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +13.8
  • Province_Western
    +7.0
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.7
  • mass_share
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -17.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+325.6 L / mo
base 222.0 L → after 547.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 222.0 L → after 222.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 368

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
325.6 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,342
Payback
5.4 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 149,678

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.