All outlets

OUT_08260

Kiosk · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
623.2 L
Recent monthly avg
333.8 L
Own Q90
552.6 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,068
Replenishment friction
28.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +131.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~131.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +310.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +37.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +37.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +27.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -107.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.3
  • mass_share
    -7.2
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 655.8 L → after 655.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 655.8 L → after 655.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,103

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.