All outlets

OUT_08160

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
777.1 L
Recent monthly avg
484.6 L
Own Q90
681.4 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,154
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +153.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~153.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +193.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +139.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +71.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +59.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +42.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • same_type_competitors_1km
    -1.2
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_02
    -1.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 767.8 L → after 767.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 767.8 L → after 767.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,141

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.