All outlets

OUT_07859

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
709.7 L
Recent monthly avg
448.8 L
Own Q90
701.9 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
973
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +145.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~145.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +187.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +137.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +45.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +38.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -121.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.3
  • mid_share
    -4.0
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3
  • Longitude
    -1.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 728.4 L → after 728.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 728.4 L → after 728.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 891

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.