All outlets

OUT_07724

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
219.2 L
Recent monthly avg
89.2 L
Own Q90
215.8 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
1,344
Replenishment friction
19.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +333.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +333.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +41.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~41.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +26.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +13.2
  • Province_Western
    +7.1
  • mass_share
    +2.1
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -18.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+333.1 L / mo
base 208.3 L → after 541.4 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 208.3 L → after 208.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 214

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
333.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,417
Payback
5.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 151,266

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.