All outlets

OUT_07723

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
70.2 L
Recent monthly avg
13.6 L
Own Q90
50.3 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
751
Replenishment friction
6.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +13.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~13.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.8 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 4.6% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.8 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.3
  • mass_share
    +1.8
  • monthly_cv
    +1.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.1 L / mo
base 68.7 L → after 72.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 68.7 L → after 68.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 60

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.