All outlets

OUT_07707

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
80.0 L
Recent monthly avg
18.6 L
Own Q90
74.1 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,139
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +19.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~19.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 14.3 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.6
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.2
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +1.9
  • monthly_cv
    +1.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 99.0 L → after 99.0 L
Remove competitive drag+1.3 L / mo
base 99.0 L → after 100.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 113

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.