All outlets

OUT_07678

Pharmacy · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
656.3 L
Recent monthly avg
398.2 L
Own Q90
659.2 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
601
Replenishment friction
6.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +138.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~138.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 15.4 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +75.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +35.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +31.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -116.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.1
  • mass_share
    -4.6
  • mid_share
    -3.6
  • Latitude
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 691.1 L → after 691.1 L
Remove competitive drag+1.2 L / mo
base 691.1 L → after 692.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 818

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.