All outlets

OUT_07612

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
87.8 L
Recent monthly avg
17.6 L
Own Q90
59.9 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
788
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +26.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~26.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +4.6 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.6 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.2
  • competitors_2km
    +5.6
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.9
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.8
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 130.6 L → after 130.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 130.6 L → after 130.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 88

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.