All outlets

OUT_07515

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
759.4 L
Recent monthly avg
467.9 L
Own Q90
798.0 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
888
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +149.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~149.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +191.6
  • Cooler_Count
    +136.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +65.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +55.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.6
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Latitude
    -1.8
  • super_premium_share
    -1.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 747.5 L → after 747.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 747.5 L → after 747.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,227

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.