All outlets

OUT_07409

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
77.4 L
Recent monthly avg
21.5 L
Own Q90
70.7 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
905
Replenishment friction
33.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +24.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~24.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +14.5
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +6.0
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8
  • Latitude
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -21.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 121.9 L → after 121.9 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 121.9 L → after 121.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 88

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.