All outlets

OUT_07378

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
673.4 L
Recent monthly avg
421.3 L
Own Q90
659.3 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,032
Replenishment friction
21.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +141.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~141.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +290.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +69.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +35.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +22.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.6
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.5
  • jan_mean
    -1.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 705.2 L → after 705.2 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 705.2 L → after 705.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 833

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.