All outlets

OUT_07243

Hotel · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
231.5 L
Recent monthly avg
100.2 L
Own Q90
226.3 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,016
Replenishment friction
12.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +305.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +305.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +7.3 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 10.1% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~7.3 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +33.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.4
  • Province_Western
    +4.4
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +2.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -12.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+305.7 L / mo
base 221.7 L → after 527.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 221.7 L → after 221.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 260

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
305.7 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,762
Payback
5.7 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 137,282

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.