All outlets

OUT_07216

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
87.5 L
Recent monthly avg
14.8 L
Own Q90
58.2 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
987
Replenishment friction
37.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +26.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~26.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.7
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +5.4
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.0
  • Latitude
    +3.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 133.8 L → after 133.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 133.8 L → after 133.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 166

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.