All outlets

OUT_07162

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
92.7 L
Recent monthly avg
7.2 L
Own Q90
15.9 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
651
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +21.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.2
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    +8.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.3
  • mid_share
    +2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -20.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 107.0 L → after 107.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 107.0 L → after 107.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 214

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.