All outlets

OUT_07133

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
82.9 L
Recent monthly avg
12.9 L
Own Q90
42.6 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
877
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +21.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.7 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 16.0 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.7 L/month of intercepted traffic.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.5
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.0
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -21.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.2 L / mo
base 105.4 L → after 105.7 L
Remove competitive drag+1.7 L / mo
base 105.4 L → after 107.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 129

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.