All outlets

OUT_07132

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
228.4 L
Recent monthly avg
135.2 L
Own Q90
281.3 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,368
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +311.0 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +311.0 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +46.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~46.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +7.8 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.9% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~7.8 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +31.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.8
  • Province_Western
    +5.8
  • Latitude
    +4.5
  • mass_share
    +2.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -8.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+311.0 L / mo
base 233.4 L → after 544.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 233.4 L → after 233.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 125

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
311.0 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,585
Payback
5.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 133,495

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.