All outlets

OUT_07075

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
84.6 L
Recent monthly avg
20.6 L
Own Q90
77.4 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
769
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.8% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.2 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +1.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +9.0
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +2.0
  • mass_share
    +2.0
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +1.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.1 L / mo
base 91.8 L → after 92.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 91.8 L → after 91.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 82

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.