All outlets

OUT_07038

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
68.9 L
Recent monthly avg
15.0 L
Own Q90
41.4 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
817
Replenishment friction
29.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +2.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.4 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.3
  • mass_share
    +1.7
  • monthly_cv
    +1.6
  • footfall_score_norm
    +1.5
  • territory_radius_m
    +1.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -26.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 70.5 L → after 70.5 L
Remove competitive drag+0.4 L / mo
base 70.5 L → after 70.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 55

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.