All outlets

OUT_07034

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.5 L
Recent monthly avg
15.5 L
Own Q90
48.1 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
899
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +21.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.0
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8
  • Latitude
    +2.3
  • competitors_1km
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -21.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 109.1 L → after 109.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.4 L / mo
base 109.1 L → after 109.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 92

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.