All outlets

OUT_06934

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.3 L
Recent monthly avg
17.9 L
Own Q90
43.1 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
1,152
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.6
  • Longitude
    +2.1
  • competitors_1km
    +1.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.6
  • Latitude
    +1.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 74.1 L → after 74.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 74.1 L → after 74.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 86

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.