All outlets

OUT_06932

Grocery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
225.5 L
Recent monthly avg
101.3 L
Own Q90
220.8 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
820
Replenishment friction
24.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +45.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~45.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +8.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.4%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~8.4 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +33.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +17.0
  • Province_Western
    +5.7
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +2.2
  • mass_share
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -9.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 225.0 L → after 225.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 225.0 L → after 225.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 305

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.