All outlets

OUT_06740

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
74.3 L
Recent monthly avg
20.7 L
Own Q90
58.9 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,186
Replenishment friction
22.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +24.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~24.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +14.9
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    +5.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +5.2
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +3.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -21.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 122.7 L → after 122.7 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 122.7 L → after 122.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 83

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.