All outlets

OUT_06681

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
85.8 L
Recent monthly avg
23.1 L
Own Q90
80.4 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,111
Replenishment friction
38.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +4.1 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 6.9% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.1 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.1
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_03
    +1.8
  • super_premium_share
    +1.6
  • mid_share
    +1.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -25.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -24.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 90.1 L → after 90.1 L
Remove competitive drag-0.0 L / mo
base 90.1 L → after 90.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 116

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.