All outlets

OUT_06676

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
69.3 L
Recent monthly avg
17.4 L
Own Q90
56.2 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
2,443
Replenishment friction
33.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.3
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.6
  • territory_radius_m
    +0.9
  • Latitude
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.5 L / mo
base 72.5 L → after 73.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 72.5 L → after 72.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 87

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.