All outlets

OUT_06645

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
674.8 L
Recent monthly avg
469.5 L
Own Q90
758.6 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,060
Replenishment friction
3.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +141.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~141.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +79.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +40.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    +36.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.6
  • mass_share
    -3.3
  • mid_share
    -3.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 706.1 L → after 706.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 706.1 L → after 706.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 579

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.