All outlets

OUT_06625

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,723.3 L
Recent monthly avg
1,308.6 L
Own Q90
1,832.9 L
Active months
36 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,070
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +348.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~348.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +668.1
  • Cooler_Count
    +310.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +247.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +99.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +96.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -33.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.5
  • Longitude
    -6.6
  • Latitude
    -5.9
  • same_type_competitors_500m
    -5.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,740.3 L → after 1,740.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,740.3 L → after 1,740.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,306

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.