OUT_06549
Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · festival_promo+17.5 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
- Rank 2 · sku_mix+2.8 L / mo
Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)
Outlet currently sells 8.9% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.1%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.8 L/month.
- Rank 3 · cooler+0.6 L / mo
Add 2th cooler to outlet
Counterfactual model predicts +0.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- Province_Western+12.5
- Outlet_Type_SMMT+2.5
- Outlet_Type_Hotel+2.2
- Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01+2.2
- monthly_cv+1.1
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean-62.9
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-29.1
- monthly_volume_q95-25.4
- monthly_volume_std-22.9
- Outlet_Size_Small-22.9
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.