All outlets

OUT_06507

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
750.0 L
Recent monthly avg
342.3 L
Own Q90
664.6 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
726
Replenishment friction
14.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +141.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~141.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +10.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +10.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +214.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +76.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +63.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +52.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -101.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.4
  • mass_share
    -5.0
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • mid_share
    -2.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+10.8 L / mo
base 708.1 L → after 719.0 L
Remove competitive drag+0.8 L / mo
base 708.1 L → after 708.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,131

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
10.8 L
Monthly margin
LKR 360
Payback
139.1 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -42,315

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.