All outlets

OUT_06462

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
763.9 L
Recent monthly avg
444.2 L
Own Q90
733.1 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
4,452
Replenishment friction
21.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +156.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~156.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.4 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 7.4 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.4 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +87.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +73.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +70.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +39.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -117.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.2
  • Latitude
    -3.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.0
  • mid_share
    -2.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 780.1 L → after 780.1 L
Remove competitive drag+1.0 L / mo
base 780.1 L → after 781.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,503

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.