All outlets

OUT_06448

Pharmacy · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
649.3 L
Recent monthly avg
20.1 L
Own Q90
75.3 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
1,372
Replenishment friction
15.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 5th cooler to outlet

    +326.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +326.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +132.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~132.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +323.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +91.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +67.5
  • mass_share
    +14.1
  • Province_Western
    +5.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -51.4
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -14.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -13.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+326.4 L / mo
base 663.5 L → after 989.8 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 663.5 L → after 663.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
326.4 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,873
Payback
5.6 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 139,648

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.