All outlets

OUT_06332

Kiosk · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
642.5 L
Recent monthly avg
338.0 L
Own Q90
649.5 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
785
Replenishment friction
11.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +135.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~135.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +296.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +60.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +36.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +36.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +35.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -113.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.9
  • mass_share
    -7.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.0
  • mid_share
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 675.1 L → after 675.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 675.1 L → after 675.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,195

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.