All outlets

OUT_06265

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
80.1 L
Recent monthly avg
9.4 L
Own Q90
39.6 L
Active months
10 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,994
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +3.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +3.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.6
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.5
  • monthly_cv
    +2.2
  • hhi_1500m
    +1.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+3.6 L / mo
base 73.8 L → after 77.4 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 73.8 L → after 73.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 112

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.