All outlets

OUT_06252

Eatery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
762.6 L
Recent monthly avg
416.7 L
Own Q90
660.9 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
846
Replenishment friction
10.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +145.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~145.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +1.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +260.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +73.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +72.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +51.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +35.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -110.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.9
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3
  • mid_share
    -1.7
  • Outlet_Type_Eatery
    -1.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.8 L / mo
base 726.8 L → after 728.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 726.8 L → after 726.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,597

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.