All outlets

OUT_06221

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
71.8 L
Recent monthly avg
13.4 L
Own Q90
39.1 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
960
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +6.5 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 2.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.2%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~6.4 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.8 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 20.9 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.8 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.9
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +4.3
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.2
  • monthly_cv
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 87.9 L → after 87.9 L
Remove competitive drag+2.0 L / mo
base 87.9 L → after 89.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 66

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.