All outlets

OUT_06214

Grocery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
216.9 L
Recent monthly avg
110.6 L
Own Q90
214.3 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
963
Replenishment friction
6.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +326.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +326.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +42.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~42.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +30.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.2
  • Province_Western
    +6.2
  • competitors_2km
    +3.4
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -18.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+326.3 L / mo
base 213.1 L → after 539.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 213.1 L → after 213.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 143

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
326.3 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,588
Payback
5.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 154,937

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.