All outlets

OUT_06213

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
87.9 L
Recent monthly avg
26.3 L
Own Q90
81.0 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
8
HHI (1.5 km)
1,696
Replenishment friction
18.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +24.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~24.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +1.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.1
  • mid_share
    +3.2
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.5
  • competitors_2km
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -30.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.3 L / mo
base 121.6 L → after 123.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 121.6 L → after 121.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 127

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.