All outlets

OUT_06198

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
74.6 L
Recent monthly avg
14.6 L
Own Q90
39.8 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
766
Replenishment friction
10.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.8
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.6
  • monthly_cv
    +1.4
  • competitors_2km
    +1.2
  • territory_radius_m
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 72.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 72.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 108

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.