All outlets

OUT_06154

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
228.6 L
Recent monthly avg
20.4 L
Own Q90
78.6 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
771
Replenishment friction
26.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +31.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~31.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +5.8 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.5% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~5.8 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +1.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +1.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.4
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.1
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.9
  • competitors_1km
    +4.8
  • super_premium_share
    +3.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -58.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+1.4 L / mo
base 158.1 L → after 159.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 158.1 L → after 158.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,173

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.