All outlets

OUT_06143

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
224.5 L
Recent monthly avg
18.7 L
Own Q90
66.3 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
797
Replenishment friction
5.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +31.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~31.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.2
  • competitors_2km
    +7.6
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.8
  • competitors_1km
    +5.3
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +3.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -21.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 155.1 L → after 155.1 L
Remove competitive drag+0.6 L / mo
base 155.1 L → after 155.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,103

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.