All outlets

OUT_06101

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
230.5 L
Recent monthly avg
117.4 L
Own Q90
236.9 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
1,408
Replenishment friction
21.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +43.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~43.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +6.9 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 10.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~6.9 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +15.5
  • Province_Western
    +6.2
  • mass_share
    +2.9
  • mid_share
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -12.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 218.8 L → after 218.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 218.8 L → after 218.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 259

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.