All outlets

OUT_06078

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
85.1 L
Recent monthly avg
10.9 L
Own Q90
25.8 L
Active months
12 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
990
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +4.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.3% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.2 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.9
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +4.4
  • spatial_demand_score
    +4.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.7
  • monthly_cv
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.9 L / mo
base 109.9 L → after 110.8 L
Remove competitive drag+2.0 L / mo
base 109.9 L → after 111.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 176

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.