All outlets

OUT_06042

SMMT · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
220.4 L
Recent monthly avg
102.2 L
Own Q90
209.6 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,295
Replenishment friction
3.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +305.9 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +305.9 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +42.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~42.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +31.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.1
  • Province_Western
    +4.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +1.3
  • mid_share
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -12.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+305.9 L / mo
base 210.5 L → after 516.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 210.5 L → after 210.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 181

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
305.9 L
Monthly margin
LKR 10,075
Payback
5.0 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 165,329

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.